Friday, September 21, 2012

Kacsmar: 2-0 teams couldn't be more different

Texans, 49ers true contenders, while Eagles, Cardinals lucky to have two wins

Image: KendricksGetty

Eagles?Mychal Kendricks has been part of a unit that's created turnovers that have helped Philly start 2-0.

ANALYSIS

By Scott Kacsmar

NBCSports.com contributor

updated 2:06 p.m. ET Sept. 20, 2012

For the first time since 1997, just six NFL teams have started 2-0: Arizona Cardinals, Atlanta Falcons, Houston Texans, Philadelphia Eagles, San Diego Chargers, and San Francisco 49ers.

With this group, it is unlikely we will be watching any ?Path to Perfection? run late into the season, which has been very competitive thus far with a record 20 teams at 1-1.

You can split the six 2-0 teams into three categories:

  • The Texans and 49ers are Super Bowl-caliber. Both feature balance on both sides of the ball, and a track record of playoff success from last season.
  • The Falcons and Chargers have been past Super Bowl favorites, but have enjoyed little-to-no playoff success. They meet in San Diego this Sunday.
  • Then you have the Eagles and Cardinals, who also play each other this week. They have secured two of the most fortunate 2-0 starts in NFL history.

So. Philadelphia at Arizona. Worst 2-0 matchup ever?

Dating back to last season, Arizona is tied for the league's best record in its last 11 games (9-2). If that?s not enough, guess which team has the longest active winning streak? Yep. Philadelphia has won their last six games.

So why does this matchup have such a foul smell to it? Let?s review how they reached this point.

Philadelphia leads the league in offensive yards (942), first downs (51) and has the best defensive passer rating (35.1). That is a potent combo, and yet it just became the first team in NFL history to open the season with consecutive one-point victories.

Why have the Eagles cut it so close? They lead the league in giveaways with nine. That?s five in Cleveland and four more last week in the 24-23 win over Baltimore. It is no fluke either. The Eagles had 38 turnovers last season, which were the second most in the league. Their style of offense is high-risk, high-reward.

The fact that they are 2-0 is astounding when given the facts.

  • The Eagles are the first team since the 1983 Los Angeles Rams to start 2-0 after turning the ball over at least four times in each game.
  • The Eagles are one of 13 teams since 1940 to have a turnover differential of -3 or worse and still start 2-0.
  • Michael Vick is the 51st quarterback since 1960 to throw at least six interceptions in his team?s first two games. He is just the third ? following AFL pass-happy legends Jack Kemp in 1964 and Daryle Lamonica in 1969 ? to have a 2-0 record.

How have the Eagles actually won? Vick has led late game-winning touchdown drives of 91 yards at Cleveland and 80 yards against Baltimore. Vick is the 14th quarterback since 1960 to lead a fourth quarter comeback and game-winning drive in each of his team?s first two games.

It is good to see the Eagles finish these drives after losing their last eight comeback opportunities dating back to Week 17 of the 2010 season. But to say they have been fortunate is an understatement.

Cleveland?s rookie linebacker L.J. Fort dropped a game-ending interception by Vick right before the touchdown, and the Ravens were hosed on a bad offensive pass interference penalty that would have given them a 27-17 lead with 5:29 left. Instead the Eagles come out on top with one-point victories.

The Cardinals know all about fortunate wins. They tied the NFL record with four overtime wins in 2011. They also tied the NFL record with eight wins in a season resulting from a game-winning score in the fourth quarter or overtime. Their last eight games have been decided by no more than seven points.

On Sunday, they picked up a signature win in New England. After looking like they would fall victim to another Tom Brady comeback, the defense held, preventing the Patriots from tying the game late on a two-point conversion.

What followed was a series of errors from both teams, with incredible momentum swings that made you think one team was going to win the game, only for something catastrophic to happen. After Ryan Williams fumbled the ball on a 3rd-and-13 run, the Patriots were in great position.

Having their touchdown wiped away by a Rob Gronkowski holding penalty, the Patriots relied on accurate kicker Stephen Gostkowski to win the game with a 42-yard field goal. He was wide left, and Arizona was 2-0.

How fortunate was the miss? The Patriots have been the gold standard in clutch kicking, starting with Adam Vinatieri?s run. From 2000 to 2011, the Patriots were 29 of 31 (93.5 percent) on clutch field goals in the fourth quarter and overtime. They have not had to stew over a loss because of a missed field goal since December 26, 1999 versus Buffalo.

In Week 1, the Cardinals had to come back in the fourth quarter to beat Seattle, and did so with Kevin Kolb coming off the bench to engineer the game-winning drive. With rookie Russell Wilson having an opportunity to be the hero, his fourth-down pass went through Braylon Edwards? hands with 0:18 left. Arizona won 20-16.

Hard to believe based on preseason expectation and regular season performance, but either the Cardinals or Eagles will be 3-0 after Sunday?s game. Well, that is barring a tie, in which the last two NFL ties have involved Andy Reid (2008 Eagles at Bengals) and Michael Vick (2002 Falcons at Steelers).


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Source: http://nbcsports.msnbc.com/id/49105756/ns/sports-nfl/

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